Jordan participated in the defense against Iran’s strike on Israel, saying it did so to protect its own citizens. But was that the only reason? As I wrote in this post nearly a week ago, the government of Jordan and Hamas are not friends, not at all – and that goes for the government of Jordan and the government of Iran. The message from Jordan is: don’t mess with us. Jordan is well aware that Hamas and Iran would love to topple the Jordanian government and have its own proxies take over.
There’s been at least a slight (and perhaps temporary) uptick in sympathy for Israel on the world stage:
Even among Israel’s closest allies, pressure had been growing to end the war in the Gaza Strip. The focus shifted to suffering Gazan civilians, with the world losing sight of the need to decisively defeat Hamas on the battlefield.
Iran succeeded in rallying the US and top European powers to Israel’s side. Not only did the US, the UK, and France express their unequivocal support for Israel; they actively took part in its defense, using a network of satellite, planes, and radars on the ground and at sea.
And instead of the UN Security Council discussing the need for a ceasefire in Gaza, it will be debating the Iranian threat and Israel’s right to self-defense on Sunday, with three permanent members sure to band together to condemn Tehran and Moscow.
I just did a search, but so far I can’t find anything that indicates such a vote ever happened, although there was a lot of discussion with both Israel and Iran claiming they acted in self-defense.
Once Iran gets nuclear weapons, however, it would be whole nother ball game. The risks for Iran in using nuclear weapons would be much higher, as well. It really depends on how badly the mullahs wish to martyr their own people (I’m assuming they have bunkers for themselves that probably would provide personal safety) versus how much they want to destroy Israel. They’ve certainly been yelling that the latter is their goal ever since 1979.
Here’s an interesting idea:
An Israeli strike on Iran’s drone facilities would not only be a fitting rejoinder to Saturday’s strikes, but would also help Ukraine in the face of Russian attacks. It would also be a message to Biden and the Europeans to consider the larger regional picture as they push Israel to wind down the campaign against Hamas in Gaza.
Then again, there’s the theater aspect of the present Iran/Israel conflict, which will be a topic for another post today or tomorrow.
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